Dice rolling is a favorite game for many people, but if you are a fan of this “gambling” game, you should definitely know the dice probability calculation method.
This is the factor that influences the odds of the betting options and is also the basis for the creation of many dice algorithms.
Surely, this is useful knowledge for bettors and makes reputable online Tai Xiu bookmakers tremble.
What is dice probability?
Dice probability is understood as the method of calculating the likelihood of the appearance of the dice faces, from which formulas are derived to predict the most accurate betting options.
At the same time, based on this formula, players will also understand why the bookmaker sets different odds for each specific betting option.
Currently, there are many types of dice such as hexagonal, 20-sided, pyramid-shaped… but the most commonly used type in games is the 6-sided dice.
The most common game will use 3 dice, so here we will explore the dice probability calculation method with 3 six-sided dice:
- When rolling 3 dice, each with 6 sides, the possible outcomes will be 6 x 6 x 6 = 216 possibilities. The easiest to calculate is the specific triple option.
For example, if the specified triple is all 3 faces showing 4 points => all three dice have only one possible outcome, so there is only 1 possibility, which is a very low probability: 1/216. This is also why this betting option has odds of 1 to 150 or 1 to 180.
- Identical triple option: Only the first die has 6 choices => the next 2 dice have no other choices, so there are 6 x 1 x 1 = 6 possibilities. The probability of this option is 6/216=1/36, and the odds for this option are 1/30.
- Similarly, for the double option, the probability is 30 => Probability 30/216.
- Single face option, probability 91 times => Probability is 91/216.
- Big/Small/Even/Odd all have 106 possibilities => Probability is 106/216.
Based on the possible occurrence of the betting option calculated from the total possible outcomes, the bookmaker has found an accurate ratio to calculate the odds. Applying this knowledge to playing dice drinking games from Lang Son will make you the master of the table.
Does dice probability follow a rule?
Dice probability can be calculated based on mathematical formulas. However, if the outcome were too easy to calculate, wouldn’t the players win all the bets?
Therefore, you should question: Does dice probability have a formula?
To get the most accurate answer, Kapitaniak – a researcher from the University of Aberdeen (Scotland) conducted a study by rolling dice in three-dimensional space.
The results showed that dice probability is influenced by other factors such as gravity, air resistance, friction on the surface the dice contact…
And the most important factor is the initial face-up side of the dice.
The second factor, which is equally important, is the friction force with the contact surface.
If the friction is high, the dice will bounce multiple times, and the result will vary more significantly.
However, the face-up factor (initial result) is still more important because when performing many different dice-shaking methods, the result returns to the initial state more than 50% of the time.
This is the factor that makes the dice probability relatively predictable, not absolutely accurate, but relatively up to 60 – 70%.
Factors affecting how to calculate dice probability
Based on the relatively predictable dice probability calculation, players will notice that if the dice bounce multiple times, the results will differ.
Therefore, the Dealer at the table will be very clever when the number of shakes is inconsistent, sometimes even, sometimes odd, sometimes strong, sometimes light, and sometimes more, sometimes less.
For players, the factor that most accurately affects dice probability will be:
Timing the Dealer’s shake rhythm and the strength of the shake. This is the factor that determines how many times the dice will bounce. Usually, a light shake + even rhythm will cause the dice to return to the original position, and vice versa.
Note that repeated game results are the repeating pattern because of the dice. Therefore, we rely on the game table statistics to predict the pattern very accurately.
How to calculate dice probability with a total of 10
On the game table, there is another type of bet, which is betting on a specific total score.
Among them, the total of 10 is the most popular because it is very likely to appear.
So how do you calculate the probability of a total of 10? Why is this total the most likely to appear among all exact results?
As mentioned, rolling three 6-sided dice will have 216 possible outcomes.
- The total of 10 points will have the following cases: 10 = 1 + 3 + 6 = 2 + 4 + 4 = 2 + 3 + 5 = 1 + 4 + 5 = 3 + 3 + 4 = 2 + 2 + 6
- With the above calculation, we have 3 ways where the points on the 3 dice are different, and 3 ways where the points on the three dice will show a pair.
- With 3 different points, there will be: 3 x 2 x 1 = 6 possibilities => 3 ways, so there will be 6 x 3 = 18 possibilities.
- With the way 3 points show a pair, there will be a combination of 2 + 2 + 6, which can appear as: 226 – 262 – 622, which is 3 possibilities => 3 ways will have 3 x 3 = 9 possibilities.
- We have a total of 2 types: 18 + 9 = 27 possibilities => The probability will be 27/216 = 1/8.
Therefore, the total of 10 points is the most likely to appear in the specific total score when calculating the probability of rolling 3 dice, and this bet usually has a payout probability of 1:5 to 1:6.
When betting on this option, you should combine the factors affecting dice probability and the probability of the bet. It is best to place the bet after the total of 10 has not appeared for 8 consecutive rounds.
Understanding this principle allows you to confidently master the method of rolling dice as desired, thereby minimizing risks for yourself. Understandingwhat is Tài Xỉu, playing dice alone is not enough; you need to learn other knowledge to create an advantage for yourself.
Conclusion
How to calculate dice probability is quite complex, but if you firmly grasp the principles, you will surely reap the rewards.
Although the bookmaker will try to make the results as random as possible, it is only to a relative extent, and if you observe carefully, there will still be factors that increase your chances of winning.
