Having both secured victories in the first round, the clash between France and the Netherlands is considered the decisive match for the top spot in Group D of EURO 2024. This is a highly unpredictable battle between two evenly matched teams in terms of strength and personnel, but a surprising absence could change the course of the match at 02:00 on June 22.
First half odds for the match between the Netherlands and France
The Netherlands team has just experienced a thrilling battle against Poland in the earliest match of Group D when The Oranje had to come from behind thanks to a late goal from “super sub” Wout Weghorst. Nevertheless, coach Ronald Koeman’s team still secured a full 3 points before facing the formidable opponent France, who are the highest-rated team in the group. Despite many lingering issues in the attack, especially in the goal-scoring position of Memphis Depay, the bright spots for the Netherlands come from the defense and midfield. The top-class performances of Van Dijk, De Vrij, and Nathan Ake greatly contribute to the solidity of Verbruggen’s goal throughout the match, while the midfield with Reijnders and Veerman shows the potential to fill the gaps left by De Jong and Koopmeiners.
On the other side, the French team has received a blow as captain Kylian Mbappe has been confirmed to be absent from the match against the Netherlands due to a broken nose. Although the French attack still boasts many quality names, the importance of the 1998-born forward to Les Bleus is undeniable, so this absence will make Didier Deschamps’ headache. The dependence of France on Mbappe has been evident for a long time, for example in the two friendly matches before the tournament. In the 3-0 victory over Luxembourg, all goals were scored by Mbappe, and when the number 10 was on the bench, France struggled to find a goal against Canada. Even in the victory over Austria, the own goal by Wober came from the uncomfortable play of the 25-year-old player. Now, without the young captain, people will see how Deschamps solves the attacking puzzle against the defense that is considered the best in Europe of the Netherlands. The first half will witness the orange wave actively closing all gaps against the French attacks, and it is predicted that the frequency of corners for France will be very high but the goals will not appear. Prediction: France to have more corners in the first half, Under goals in the first half, Netherlands +0.25 in the first half
Full match odds for the clash between the Netherlands and France
For the two teams France and the Netherlands, who have gained a significant advantage after winning in the first round, they do not necessarily have to win at all costs in this match. In fact, both Didier Deschamps’ army and Ronald Koeman’s team may calculate just enough scenarios to preserve energy for key players without affecting their position in the standings. After an attacking first half, France may proactively slow down the pace in the second half, as they have done in recent matches. Despite having a lineup of extremely strong attacking stars, practicality is always the top priority for Didier Deschamps. Especially when without the absence of Kylian Mbappe in the attack, France’s relentless attack against the Netherlands could pose many risks.
Similarly, the orange wave of the Netherlands is not necessarily required to win this match.The defensive counter-attack has always been the playing style favored by The Oranje under coach Ronald Koeman. In the first match, Poland had to taste the danger of this strategy, and France will need to take that as a lesson in the upcoming match. The match between France and the Netherlands is highly likely to end in a draw. Therefore, fans can refer to the guide to betting on EURO in the orange storm, with a 0.5 handicap for the full match. In addition, the over/under bet of 2.5/3 is relatively high for a match involving France and the Netherlands. A team lacking a main striker and a source of goals, facing a team with the strongest defense in the tournament, is likely to not see more than 2 goals in 90 minutes at the Leipzig Stadium. Prediction: Netherlands +0.5 FT, Under goals FT See more articles on Euro 2024 predictions such as: Predicting the match between Portugal and Turkey on the evening of 22/06: Fighting for the top spot