Muốn thắng được chị cái thì không có cách nào ngoài tự trang bị cho mình kiến thức, cách soi kèo bóng đá để tự mình bắt kèo cho chuẩn xác nhất. Những cách thức chúng tôi chia sẻ dưới đây sẽ có phần nâng cao hơn tí. Nếu bạn là người mới thì hãy xem các bài hướng dẫn cá cược bóng đá để nắm cơ bản đã.
What are bookmaker odds?
Bookmaker odds are the betting rates for football (and sports betting in general) calculated and provided by the bookmaker for players to place bets. Currently, there are several basic types of online football odds: handicap odds; over/under odds; total goals odds; how to play European odds, what are corner odds; yellow card odds; football score odds; etc. Each type of odds will have a different analysis method. The strategy to grasp the correct odds will help you develop a plan for betting and the appropriate betting style. Major bookmakers will have a team specializing in analyzing betting odds to calculate and provide reasonable numbers for players to choose from. This team seeks every way to create an advantage for the bookmaker. That is why bookmakers always win in the long run. As for smaller bookmakers, who do not have the financial capacity to build their own odds research team, they will buy pre-calculated odds from other providers.
The combination of two departments, online analysis and on-site analysis, how bookmakers set odds is always beneficial for them and controls all risks. Therefore, if you want to win, you must invest in learning the correct odds analysis methods. In summary, we want you to understand that bookmaker odds and betting rates come from where, and how they are influenced. Bookmakers always hold the advantage in this game. If you do not know the odds analysis methods and bet randomly, you will eventually lose your bets. Depending on each type of odds, you will need to research each analysis method below.
Some reputable betting sites
We have carefully selected some highly reputable sports betting sites, you can start playing right now without much thought.
Fi88
Nhà cái truyền thống và uy tín nhất Việt Nam, nói ít làm nhiều, top 1 nhà cái xanh chín do giới cược thủ bình chọn…
M88
Tiên phong trên thị trường cá cược tại Việt Nam, góp phần định hình ngành gambling trong suốt hơn 1 thập kỷ…
Fun88
Thuộc bộ tam nhà cái quyền lực, có tầm ảnh hưởng lớn tại Châu Á & Châu Âu với số lượng người chơi đến hàng triệu…
FB88
Nổi tiếng về cá cược bóng đá, Fb88 đã khẳng định thành công tên tuổi trên thị trường cá cược trực tuyến trong nước…
VN88
Nhà cái chuyên nghiệp và thuần Việt 100%, sản phẩm trò chơi đa dạng với hàng trăm tựa game để bạn tha hồ lựa chọn…
BK8
Nhà cái hoạt động đa quốc gia: Malaysia, Indonesia, Trung Quốc, Thái Lan, đã tài trợ 5 CLB bóng đá Tây Ban Nha…
W88
Thành lập năm 2013 và được cấp phép bởi CEZA, W88 giống như một thương hiệu nhà cái quốc dân ai cũng biết…
Jbovn
Ông trùm cá cược thể thao điện tử tại Việt Nam, nay đã lấn sân sang phát triển hàng loạt trò chơi phổ biến khác…
12Bet
12Bet xếp hạng thứ 17 trên toàn thế giới về độ uy tín theo bình chọn của tạp chí Egaming Review Magazine…
K8
K8 trực thuộc tập đoàn AG – một trong những doanh nghiệp cung cấp dịch vụ cá cược trực tuyến lâu đời trên thế giới…
How to analyze football odds when betting on the underdog
Only when you are willing to bet on the underdog, preferring to be the underdog, can you mature. When betting on the underdog, it means that the winning rate has been increased by 50% because being the underdog allows for better control of the match. From being the underdog, if during the match you feel unsafe, you can switch to betting on the favorite again, at that point you have the opportunity to win on both sides. Betting on the underdog is also a way to enhance the effectiveness of experience in live betting. The methods for analyzing underdog football odds and their advantages:
️#1. How to analyze football odds when the underdog is given a ¼ handicap
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In the case where the home team gives a -¼ or -0.25 handicap, you need to understand why the bookmaker set the odds like that. You must read the odds analysis like this:
- The home and away teams have equal strength.
- The home team must give a -0.25 handicap due to the advantage of playing at home.
- The payout rate for the home team -0.94 is high, the bookmaker wants to lure players into this bet.
- The payout rate for the away team 0.87 is low, betting a lot only yields 87%, the bookmaker wants players to avoid this bet.
- The over/under of 2 goals with a payout of 0.90 is relatively high (a payout of 90% or more is high).
- The European odds for a draw (X) with a payout of 1.94 is reasonable, the possibility of a draw is there.
Based on the above data, the following predictions can be made:
- The away team has good strength and can compete evenly with the home team (because the handicap is low with a payout of 0.87)
- Both teams will play slowly, with few goals (because the over/under is only 2 goals).
- If the home team scores, the away team will push for an equalizer (because the possibility of a draw has a high payout)
The strategy for this match is as follows:
- Bet on the away team SD Huesca +0.25.
- Watch the match, if the away team scores first, stay put. If the home team Real Valladolid scores first, wait for the over 2 or over 1.75 to jump in. The away team will equalize.
- If by the 70th minute, the away team is leading 0-1, then bet on over 1.5 with half the winnings. In the last 20 minutes, the home team will push their formation up, making it easier to score an equalizer.
️#2. How to bet on football when the home team is given a handicap of 1.5 or more
This situation often occurs in major European championship leagues, where teams at the top of the rankings play against teams at the bottom.
For example, NewCastle plays against Manchester City, Getafe plays against Barca, Spezia plays against Juventus,…
In such matches, the away team is too strong, so they always have to give a high handicap, sometimes unreasonably high compared to the actual performance of the players in the team.
Additionally, there are factors such as weather, unfamiliar pitch conditions, and player health before the match that cannot be known, but the bookmaker still sets a very deep handicap.
To win these types of bets, besides knowing the how to bet on football very well, you must also diligently update sports news, read reports, and press conferences of that team before the match starts.
Or simply let Vaobo88 do it all, just read our analysis article again.
Let’s analyze the match on 31/01/2021: Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient with a handicap of 2.25
Betting on the away team, taking the home team Lorient +2.25 with a payout of 0.94 because:
- The day before the match, how can we know if PSG will have enough players, and if all players are fit.
- What if the weather during the match is heavy rain or thick snow?
- Lorient needs points to avoid relegation, playing defensively, making it hard for PSG to score.
- PSG has a busy schedule, playing both the National Cup and the Champions League, so they will have to rotate their squad to let players rest, not exerting full strength.
- This season PSG has poor defense, making it easy to concede goals. If the home team scores 1 goal, the bet will surely win.
- When betting on the away team +2.25, if at the end of the first half they are losing 0-1, if too scared, then switch to the upper bet, taking PSG -1 will be fine.
- Betting on the away team, if by the 25th minute there is no score, then bet on over in the first half, or at the 70th minute bet on over in the second half will be easier to win and not fear losing because there is already a cushion.
In summary, there are 2 ways to bet on the underdog with a high winning rate like that.
Once you are confident, refer to the article experience in choosing football odds to gain more confidence in your betting.
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How to analyze the bookmaker’s odds when following the favorite
To know a good football betting experience, you should only analyze 1 hour before the match starts.
At that time, the bookmaker’s odds are usually stable, no longer fluctuating continuously as during the day.
There will be 3 scenarios:
️#1. The favorite increases – higher handicap – lower odds
If the favorite increases, has to give a higher handicap or the odds decrease compared to the odds released the day before, then:
- The underdog: is experiencing squad changes; important player injuries; coach dismissal; internal conflicts; receiving sanctions from FIFA;…
- The favorite: enters the match with the strongest lineup; peak performance;…
- Favorable weather, suitable for the playing style and tactics of the favorite team.
The correct way to analyze odds at this time will be:
- Bet on the favorite if playing offline, recorded through the host. If you can play online, do not bet immediately, wait for the match to pass 10 minutes.
- After 10 minutes, the odds for the favorite will decrease over time, at this point, place your bet on the favorite.
- If the odds for the favorite in the first half decrease little or do not decrease, pay attention to betting in the first half.
- In the second half, if the score has not cleared the favorite, and the favorite has not made enough money, continue betting in the second half.
️#2. The favorite decreases – lower handicap – higher odds
At this time, the favorite has been rated lower or the underdog has been rated higher compared to the odds released the day before. This causes the favorite to decrease, and the odds increase for the favorite, at this point:
- The underdog: is in good form; has a full, quality squad;…
- The favorite: players are injured; enters with a weakened lineup; coach has been dismissed; internal conflicts; important players receive red cards;…
- Bad weather, unfavorable for the playing style of the favorite.
How to analyze the bookmaker’s odds when encountering this situation:
- If playing offline, recorded through the agent, then stop, do not continue betting on this match.
- When playing online, do not bet early, wait for the official lineup, assess the strength comparison compared to the initial expectations and see if the weather has improved.
- It is best to skip betting in the first half, wait for the odds when entering the second half and see the score at that time:
- Score is tied: Do not bet on handicap, wait for the total odds to drop to 1, then bet on Over 1, watch for fluctuations in the second half.
- Score with the favorite leading by 1: Skip the handicap bet, wait for the total odds to drop, then watch for fluctuations in the second half (around minute 70)
- Score with the favorite trailing by 1: Place a handicap bet, if the favorite gives a handicap from 0.5 to 0.75, then play. Watch for fluctuations at minute 70 with all scores at that time.
️#3. Betting technique when the favorite is unexpectedly underdog
This seemingly unreasonable case often occurs in lower-tier leagues.
Initially, the team was rated as the favorite, but today, before the match starts, they are rated as the underdog.
Usually, this change only happens 30 minutes before the match starts.
Therefore, anyone playing offline will be at a disadvantage because they cannot be proactive.
We recommend that you have a bookmaker account to avoid being at a disadvantage and less proactive.
Please refer to the article how to create a football betting account online to take advantage of this.
As for how to bet when the match has such odds?
To be clear, there is nohow to analyze football odds correctly for this case. If you encounter it, just skip it because the odds are clearly bad, and the factors of deception and manipulation from the bookmaker are too obvious.
The most accurate formula for analyzing football odds with 5 NO
Whenever you start doing something, you must have some experience from those who came before. We also have 5 things we want to share, which will help you a lot in winning this football betting game. Check what mistakes you are making below and correct them.
#1. DO NOT analyze bookmaker odds when not sober
Hit in the face those who are drunk or high but still want to hold their phone to analyze football odds. Money in the account, whether much or little, is still money. Absolutely do not place bets on football odds when in an unsober state. That is when you lose control, your mind is confused, emotions take over, and you might bet randomly… no need to explain further, you must understand and avoid it.
#2. DO NOT bet on things you do not know
There are things you do not know or have not researched, so you should not touch them to avoid losing money and getting hurt. For example:
- Grass matches, two teams with strange names, never seen before.
- Odds fluctuating continuously before and during the match.
- Odds standing still, neither going up nor down, unreasonable.
- Matches that only have 30-40 minutes/half or matches with 3 halves. (usually friendly matches).
- Matches that are interrupted and then resumed.
- Handicap odds too high, Handicap from 3 or more.
- Over/Under odds too high, Over/Under 4 goals or more.
#3. DO NOT analyze bookmaker odds based on the majority
This means that this is a case where the odds look too good, anyone can see how to analyze betting odds to bet. Jump in to bet big, throw accounts in various ways. The final result is that the bookmaker still makes a profit. Real example: The match between Manchester United (Top of the table) and Sheffield United (Bottom of the table) on January 28, 2021. In this match, 100% of players predicted that MU at home would easily win against the bottom team to continue maintaining their unbeaten streak and keep the top position in the Premier League. Final result: MU 1 – 2 Sheffield United. How many people were sober enough to realize that the betting money on MU was too large, causing the bookmaker to intervene?
#4. DO NOT play in a martingale system in any form
The shortest path to losing your account is through the martingale system. Even if you have figured out a method for betting, how to analyze bookmaker odds as best as you can, playing in a martingale system will only lead to losing your account. You can never predict how many matches you will lose. Do you have enough capital to withstand a streak of 10 consecutive losing bets? We have seen a case shared on the forum Vaobo88.com that was hard to believe.
It is possible to double your winnings within 30 days (1 month) straight, but on the 31st day, if you double down on a losing streak, you will also lose your account. Furthermore, can players who double down maintain discipline? The capital plan for doubling down is 6 matches, but by the 3rd losing match, emotions run high, and they throw their account to recover, only to lose again and end up far away.
#5. DO NOT bet randomly, do not bet without proper analysis
This situation occurs both when winning and losing. The mentality when winning is to want to bet on many matches to win more. When losing, the desire is to bet on many matches to recover quickly. Reflect on yourself, surely whether you play a lot or a little, you will encounter this. Limit random betting by the following methods:
- Set a discipline, only bet on 3 matches in one time frame at most.
- On the betting board, only 3 codes/tickets are the best.
- Do not run/play randomly, seeing any match as easy to win.
- Always think of yourself as a novice, if something is not certain, do not dare to bet.
- Always check your account balance.
- Apply all the betting analysis methods you know for each match.
- Consult betting experts and football tipsters for additional opinions before placing bets…
If you feel the odds are difficult to handle, you must firmly grasp the method to release bets, which helps you recover some of your betting capital. This game is long-term, do not let temporary impatience affect your entire future betting plan.
Which betting house is the most reliable?
There are many easy bets, but the easier they are, the lower the payout, so do not be greedy. To win big, you must take risks, but in the long run, the risk to your fate is still higher, so do not choose this type of betting analysis frequently. The best way to play this game, to earn money long-term with online betting, is to find a betting site with the following factors:
- Many matches, both major leagues and minor leagues.
- Odds that fluctuate evenly, not erratically, going up and down unpredictably.
- Quick payout for winning bets.
- Fast deposit and withdrawal.
- Allows flexible betting even when the match is ongoing.
- Full range of bets including corner bets, card bets, player scoring bets…
There are many factors that create a reputable betting site, you can refer to the following bookmakers: W88; Fun88; 188Bet; VN88; FB88; M88 There are also many more reliable brands, you can check the top bookmakers online football betting reputable for reference.
Conclusion
Learn how to analyze football betting to minimize losses, winning 60% is already a way to earn money. In this profession, never consider yourself a master or expert because anything can happen. Winning and losing is normal. Set a strict discipline for yourself, whenever you place a football bet, make sure it is a solid bet.